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DAILY SUMMARY
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Daily Unleaded Gas Option Analysis - Mon, November 26, 2001
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Month
DEC
Futures
Closing Price

52.17
Days Left
2
Implied ATM
Volatility

50.79%
Last Trading Date
Tue, Nov. 27, 2001
ArrowHistorical v. Implied Volatility Graphs
ArrowHistorical Volatility Tables
ArrowImplied Standard Deviations


DEC Implied Volatility v. 1-Week Historical Volatility
December 12, 2000 - November 26, 2001

Days to Options Expiration v. Volatility (percent)
Solid line is Implied Volatility

DEC Futures
December 12, 2000 - November 26, 2001

Days to Options Expiration v. Futures Price


Historical Volatilities for HU
1-Week 2-Week 1-Month 6-Week 2-Month 3-Month 4-Month 6-Month
DEC
20.65%
84.11%
66.64%
60.07%
52.28%
41.94%
38.03%
33.38%


Implied Standard Deviations for HU
1-Day 3-Day 1-Week 2-Week 1-Month 2-Month 3-Month ATM Vol.
DEC
1.64
2.84
4.34
6.14
8.98
12.81
15.65
50.79%


DEC - HU Top
SETTLE (CLOSE) FAIR VALUE TICKS OVER FAIR IMPLIED VOLATILITY IMPLIED DELTA VEGA GAMMA THETA C/R
STRIKE Call Put Call Put Call Put Call Put Call Put (ticks) (ticks) (ticks)
49
50
51
52*
53
54
55
56
57
325
238
162
101
58
30
14
6
2
8
21
45
84
141
213
297
389
485
325
237
162
101
58
30
14
6
2
8
21
45
84
141
213
297
389
485
0
+1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
50.87
51.25
51.06
50.74
51.05
51.08
51.13
51.40
50.38
50.70
51.18
51.03
50.74
51.07
51.13
51.24
51.65
50.97
.92
.83
.70
.54
.37
.23
.12
.06
.02
-.08
-.17
-.30
-.46
-.63
-.77
-.88
-.94
-.98
.01
.01
.02
.02
.02
.01
.01
.01
.00
6
11
15
17
16
13
9
5
2
6.6
14
22
27
25
18
11
5.3
2.0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
DEC Fut=52.17 Days=2 atmVol=50.79% IntRate = 5.50%
DEC Volatility Skew
Last Trading Date: November 27, 2001

Strike v. Volatility
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